PSA releases the 2016 Statistical Indicators on Philippine Development

Reference No. : 2017-082
Released Date : Tuesday, July 18, 2017

To monitor the achievements of the economic and social development goals set forth in the Philippine Development Plan (PDP) 2011-2016, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) releases the 2016 Statistical Indicators on Philippine Development (StatDev 2016).  The StatDev is a statistical indicator system that provides a comparison of actual sectoral accomplishments with the corresponding targets indicated in the PDP 2011-2016 Results Matrices (PDP-RM), capturing the midterm updates, many of which were provided by respective agencies, for easier appreciation by planners, evaluators, and other stakeholders. 
StatDev 2016 highlights the performance of the sectors in the country for the past six years.  This contains 198 indicators covering the nine PDP sectoral chapters, 190 of which have end-of-plan targets while the rest have no indicated targets.  Unlike previous releases, the StatDev 2016 presents the “hits” and “misses” on some targets provided in the PDP-RM.   For each indicator with the end-of-plan target, the 2016 actual data, if available, was compared with the corresponding target; otherwise, the pace of performance was computed for such indicator1.  In this report, 58 of the 148 government targets were achieved in 2016.  For those indicators with the end-of-plan targets but without 2016 data, 11 posted good probabilities of achieving their respective targets; two registered average chances of hitting their targets while 29 had low odds of reaching their targets.  Based on the submissions of data source agencies, there were 155 indicators with up to 2016 data while the rest had the latest data from 2015 to as far as 2011.  The latest report also includes 15 indicators with 2017 first quarter data. 
The following are the highlights of the StatDev 2016:
Overall performance across PDP chapters/sectors
In terms of overall performance, five out of nine sectors (macroeconomy, industry and services, financial system, social development, and environment and natural resources), had at least 40% of their respective indicators achieving the target or likely to meet them in 2016.

Although the real GDP growth rate was consistently more than six percent over the period, it was below its 7.5 to 8.5 percent target for 2016.  There is, however, a high probability of meeting the target for poverty incidence among the population.

Competitive industry and services sector
Although the country failed to be in the upper third of the Global Competitiveness Index ranking, the jump from 85th in 2010 to 57th in 2016 is worth noting.  In addition, the total approved investments fell short of its ₱947 billion target by a chunk of around 28 percent in 2016.  The visitor receipts, however, surpassed the $4.5 billion target.

Competitive and sustainable agriculture and fisheries sectors
The country missed its target for the value of agricultural exports.  Although the agriculture sector achieved its hog production target for 2016, the intended levels for chicken and fisheries production were not met.

Accelerating infrastructure development
Among those indicators with 2016 data, targets for more than 50 percent of them were missed.  The “misses” include the number of vehicular accidents in Metro Manila per day, the number of NAIA domestic and international flights, and classroom-to-pupil ratio. However, there were also “hits” which include four out of the five social infrastructure indicators (classroom-to-student ratio, water and sanitation facility to pupil and student ratios, and the percentage of LGUs served by sanitary landfill).

Towards a dynamic and resilient financial system
The growth of the financial system’s total assets is a “hit” as it recorded more than 10 percent in 2016.  On the downside, there is a low probability of achieving the target for the national savings rate.

Good governance and the rule of law
Two out of six Worldwide Governance Indicators, namely, political stability and voice and accountability, posed high probabilities of reaching their respective target outcomes by the end of 2016. Effective and transparent governance practices have yet to be strengthened as we lagged behind our regional counterparts based on the World Justice Project rankings.

Social development
The number of poor households covered by the Conditional Cash Transfer Program and the number of Technical Vocational Education and Training graduates have generally surpassed their respective targets since 2012. However, some of the “misses” of the sector include the enrolment and coverage rates under the National Health Insurance Program and the national passing rate in licensure examinations.

Peace and security
Since the adoption of the improved methodology in 2013, there was a declining trend in the number of reported crime incidents in the country. In addition, crime solution efficiency exceeded its target of 38 percent in 2016. However, the number of private armed groups and other threat groups increased from 76 in 2015 to 83 in 2016.

Conservation, protection, and rehabilitation of environment and natural resources
Though steadily increasing, the environment sector did not hit its target for the proportion of land area covered by forest, registering around 28 percent in 2016.  Meanwhile, increasing the observed population of threatened species was a success as the numbers of Philippine Eagle, Tamaraw and Philippine Cockatoo exceeded their respective targets.  However, the numbers of threatened Fauna and Flora species failed to decline in the past six years.  Moreover, the reduction of air pollution remained to be a challenge for the two of the five areas to pass the desired total suspended particulate level, while only two out of 10 priority rivers had achieved the targeted biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) level.
1   Please refer to the Technical Notes for StatDev 2016 for the computation of the probabilities.
National Statistician and Civil Registrar General
Icons used:
For indicators with the end-of-plan targets and with 2016 actual data:
Hit - The target was attained
Missed  - The target was not attained
For indicators with the end-of-plan targets and but without 2016 actual data:
Good performance - The target is likely to be attained
Average performance - The target may or may not be attained
Poor performance - The target is not likely to be attained