Macroeconomy and Justice sectors drive the performance of the present administration at the onset of its term

Reference No. : 2018-116
Release Date : 18 July 2018

The target outcomes of sound macroeconomic policy and swift and fair administration of justice of the Philippine government for its six-year term from 2017 to 2022 are likely to be achieved given the current performance of the Macroeconomy  and Justice sectors as depicted in the results of the compilation of the 2017 Statistical Indicators on Philippine Development (StatDev 2017).
 
StatDev 2017 contains 257 indicators covering the 14 publicly available Philippine Development Plan (PDP) sectoral chapters.  Considering the latest available data one year or so following the baseline year, 111 indicators show high likelihood; 29 show medium likelihood; and 117 show low likelihood of achieving their respective targets by 2022. 
 
The following are the highlights of the StatDev 2017 across sectors in the PDP, ranked by performance:
 
Overall performance 
More than half (54%) of the indicators post either high or medium likelihood of achieving the target early at the start of the medium term.  
 
Among the fourteen sectors, eleven have at least 50% of their respective indicators exhibiting high or medium likelihood of achieving the target in 2022.
 

Macroeconomy
The cumulative exports of goods amounting to US$ 63.23 billion already achieved its target as early as 2017.  Also, the government revenue-to-GDP ratio improved to 15.6% in 2017, posting a high likelihood of achieving its target.
 

Justice
The percentile rank of the Philippines in terms of the Criminal Justice indicator of the World Justice Project Rule of Law Index rose from 74 in 2016 to 90 in 2017, exceeding its Plan target of 78. More so, percentile rank of the Philippines in terms of the Fundamental Rights rose from 73 in 2016 to 87 in 2017, also exceeding its Plan target of 77.
 

Human Capital Development
The completion rates in 2016 for both primary and secondary education, and the labor productivity in the service sector in 2017 exceeded their respective targets for 2022.
 

Industry and Services
The tourism gross value added (GVA) as proportion of gross domestic product (GDP) already exceeded its Plan target, reaching 12.2% in 2017.  Also, the proportion of tourism employment to total employment exhibited high likelihood in attaining its target by 2022.
 

Environment
The area of land degradation hotspots decreased by 60,000 hectares.  More so, the monitoring and implementation of interim rehabilitation measures in Palawan Quicksilver and Romblon Marble abandoned mines progressed by 18.3% and 35.0%, respectively.
 

Demographic Dividend
The adolescent birth rate decreased from 57 to 47 births per 1,000 adolescent girls.  However, the youth unemployment rate increased from 11.6 to 14.4 in a span of one year.
 

Science and Technology
The number of industrial designs registered almost doubled from 516 in 2016 to 1,014 in 2017.  However, the number of Filipino patents granted decreased from 31 in 2016 to 25 in 2017.
 

Competitiveness
The GCI ranking on market size already reached the target to be among the top 20% in 2017.  However, there was only one percent improvement in the overall Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) ranking of the Philippines.
 
Infrastructure
The ratio of electricity consumption per capita already reached its target of 883.4 kilowatt hour per capita. However, the number of newly developed service areas through the National Irrigation Systems up to 2017 showed low likelihood of reaching the target of 225,526 hectares.
 
Culture and Values
The percentage of municipalities, cities, and provinces with Indigenous Peoples Mandatory Representation increased from 7% in 2015 to only 10% after two years.
 
Social Protection
While the coverage of social protection programs such as PhilHealth insurance and Conditional Cash Transfer increased, the number of deaths and missing persons due to disasters in 2017 was far from the target of zero by 2022.
 
Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries
In 2017, only two (sugar cane and palay) of the 13 major crops posted high or medium likelihoods; while the rest had low likelihoods of achieving their target yield.  Also, in terms of the objective to provide technical support services for perennial crops, only the provision for rubber and cacao showed high or medium likelihoods; but for the rest, the likelihoods were low.
 
Governance
Despite the increase in the number of local government units fully disclosing financial documents to the public, the percentile ranks in global indices (e.g. World Governance Index, Corruption Perceptions Index, and Global Competitiveness Index) remained stagnant, if not decreased.
 
Shelter and Housing
All indicators under the sector showed low likelihoods of achieving their respective targets at this point of the medium term.  The increase in the proportion of socialized housing targets met and the number of socialized housing units delivered in 2017 showed low likelihoods of achieving the Plan target.
 
 
The StatDev is a statistical indicator system that provides a comparison of actual sectoral accomplishments with the corresponding targets indicated in the PDP 2017-2022 Results Matrices (PDP-RM), for easier appreciation by planners, evaluators, and other stakeholders.
 
 
 
 
LISA GRACE S. BERSALES, Ph.D.
Undersecretary
National Statistician and Civil Registrar General
 
______________________________
Icons used:
High likelihood - The chance of attaining the target is high and thus, the target is likely to be achieved.
Medium likelihood - The chance of attaining the target is medium and thus, the target may or may not be achieved.
Low likelihood - The chance of attaining the target is low and thus, the target is not likely to be achieved.